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2015 Kentucky Derby Odds
2015-04-15
Kentucky Derby week is one of the most thrilling times of the year. This race is known as "The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports" for its approximate time length.
Check 2015 KY Derby Schedule May 1 and 24 at Sportsbook.com
Odds to Win 2015 Kentucky Derby
March Madness Bracket
2015-02-15
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CFB: Orange Bowl – Iowa vs. Georgia Tech (8:10 PM ET, FOX)
2010-01-05
The BCS bowl games continue on Tuesday night with the annual installment of the Orange Bowl from Miami. This year’s matchup pits Iowa out of the Big Ten vs. Georgia Tech from the ACC. The Yellow Jackets are 5.5-point favorites currently at Sportsbook.com, up from -2.5 at opener. The latest number has managed to push more of the action towards the Hawkeyes, according to the BETTING TRENDS page.
This year’s Orange Bowl is so absurdly easy as what to watch for it barely needs to be acknowledged, however when scenarios like this occur, often the some other side of the story ends up what really determines the winner. Georgia Tech’s option offense is a sight to behold, ranking 11th in total offense, at 307 yards per game against teams that only surrendered 156 yards per contest on the ground.
Iowa (10-2, 7-4 ATS) was a sturdy defensive squad all season, allowing just 15.5 points per game and was ranked 11th in total defense in the country. On the year the Hawkeyes conceded just 3.5 yards per carry and fundamentally squeezed the life out of most offenses, never allowing more than 28 points in single game.
This is where many people has chosen to focus their attention and unquestionably it will be important, especially if it one-sided for their team. Nevertheless, when the Iowa has the ball and how Georgia Tech defends them will be equally as important.
Ricky Stanzi is expected back at quarterback for Iowa, after missing last two and half contests with injury. If you Googled the term - winning ugly- you would get a Hawkeyes team picture. Stanzi threw just one more touchdown than interception on the season (15 vs. 14), but always seemed to play his best in the final 30 minutes. The Hawkeyes have underrated pass catchers like TE Tony Moeaki and Derrell Johnson-Koulianos, who led team in receptions. If Stanzi can get started, Iowa could move to 6-0 ATS after allowing 17 or fewer points like they did against Minnesota in 12-0 whitewashing.
Georgia Tech’s defense was strictly average against teams that didn’t run the ball well like Iowa; they for the most part held them in check. With the Hawkeyes running backs healed and ready to go, it’s impossible to overlook the fact the Yellow Jackets (11-2, 8-4 ATS) were gouged for 662 yards on the ground their last two games. Iowa might well come out with short passing attack, to loosen up the linebackers from Georgia Tech, before plowing ahead with the running game to test their mettle. Coach Paul Johnson’s club is 15-6 ATS on a grass field over the last two seasons.
All right, I can tell by the look on your face you are not buying this thought process. You are betting this game on one factor either way. Iowa holds Georgia Tech to 200 or less yards rushing and pulls the upset or the Yellow Jackets wear down the Hawkeyes with the constant thumping of the option and makes them jelly-legged and armed like they’ve been shoveling snow for four hours straight.
Iowa has been a sound bowl team, going 7-3 ATS in its last 10 and underdogs are 8-2 ATS in those games. The Hawkeyes are on the receiving end of 5.5-points at Bookmaker.com and have to attack the option. Defensive ends on either side have to work up-field to disrupt, but not getting out of position. The linebackers have to play assignment football and not run to QB Josh Nesbitt, otherwise any of the other speedy backs will go the distance. Iowa is 21-5 ATS versus rushing teams averaging 200 or more rushing yards a game.
Coach Johnson’s team lost twice and when they did they gained 205 and 95 yards on the ground, far below their average. Kirk Ferentz’s team really limited the opponent’s passing in holding them to 60 yards below their average at 165 YPG. Georgia Tech’s passing game always has the element of surprise, which catches opposing teams off guard. Coach Johnson teams are 10-1 ATS vs. defensive teams who give up 17 or less points.
Both schools were superb away from home, with Iowa 4-1 and 5-0 ATS and the Rambling Wreck 6-1 SU and ATS. Underdogs are 5-1 ATS in Orange Bowl’s since 2004.
The StatFox Power Line shows Georgia Tech by 4.
CFB: Outback Bowl NORTHWESTERN vs. AUBURN (11:00 AM ET, ESPN)
2010-01-04
Northwestern hasn’t won a bowl game since 1948. And in order to break that trend, it will need to beat an SEC team in one of the high-profile New Year’s Day games, the Outback Bowl. The Wildcats are an 8-point dog, and nearly 2/3 of bettors at Sportsbook.com don’t even give them a chance to stay that close, instead backing Auburn as the chalk.
The Wildcats haven’t played on Jan. 1 since 1997. They are a 8-point underdog to an Auburn team, which won just two of its L7 games in 2009. That could prove to be an important line position, as the underdog has covered the number each of the L5 times the pointspread exceeded four points in this bowl series. Auburn was a low-scoring bowl team under former coach Tommy Tuberville, going under in its L7, with the games producing just 32.4 points per game. The Tigers were 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS in that span. Northwestern won its L3 games both SU and ATS to finish at 8-4.
When Auburn faced defensive teams that ranked 30th or higher at the end of the regular season, it averaged 34.5 points per game. Northwestern finished 43rd in total defense this year. The Tigers’ scoring was held down by fast SEC defenses, something the Wildcat defenders will not be accused of. Northwestern averaged 25.2 points per game and it should have no problem surpassing that figure since Auburn surrendered almost 27 points per contest (26.9). The cast of players change, however, it is not an accident the average score of Northwestern’s last six bowl games is over 70 points, with the Wildcats conceding 43.8 points per game against unfamiliar opponents in which they have been an underdog, just like this New Year’s Day opener. Play the Over!
Top FoxSheets.com ATS Trend
NORTHWESTERN is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. The average score was NORTHWESTERN 23.4, OPPONENT 26.6 - (Rating = 1*)
Top FoxSheets.com Total Super Situation
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (AUBURN) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, off a loss against a conference rival. (42-16 over the last 10 seasons.) (72.4%, +24.4 units. Rating = 2*)
OUTBACK BOWL Series Trend: The Big Ten-SEC Outback Bowl series has been a competitive one with the last eight games being split 4/4. The Big Ten leads the recent ATS ledger 5-2 however, including Iowa’s easy 31-10 win over South Carolina this past New Year’s Day. That game resulted in the third straight UNDER the total. The last time this game featured a team not Iowa, Wisconsin, or Tennessee was in ’03, and the last five times the line was set at 4-points or more, the underdog covered.